Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.045666 0.049696 0.053781 0.058223 0.062912 0.067707 0.072973
2024-10-27 0.039623 0.045594 0.051870 0.058931 0.066626 0.074732 0.083892
2024-11-03 0.034096 0.041355 0.049246 0.058398 0.068656 0.079741 0.092562
2024-11-10 0.030133 0.038377 0.047616 0.058624 0.071268 0.085226 0.101690
2024-11-17 0.027215 0.036256 0.046677 0.059394 0.074312 0.091085 0.111194
2024-11-24 0.025939 0.035900 0.047651 0.062275 0.079724 0.099628 0.123796
2024-12-01 0.022458 0.032551 0.044796 0.060389 0.079360 0.101359 0.128453
2024-12-08 0.020078 0.030369 0.043177 0.059823 0.080426 0.104655 0.134860
2024-12-15 0.018115 0.028557 0.041872 0.059512 0.081691 0.108112 0.141410
2024-12-22 0.017393 0.028323 0.042525 0.061617 0.085908 0.115122 0.152236
2024-12-29 0.016333 0.027535 0.042386 0.062655 0.088762 0.120466 0.161071
2025-01-05 0.015301 0.026703 0.042120 0.063475 0.091304 0.125414 0.169436
2025-01-12 0.013712 0.024990 0.040616 0.062655 0.091782 0.127877 0.174885
2025-01-19 0.012835 0.024261 0.040415 0.063538 0.094445 0.133085 0.183766
2025-01-26 0.011602 0.022897 0.039248 0.063052 0.095280 0.135970 0.189768
2025-02-02 0.010711 0.021992 0.038676 0.063331 0.097092 0.140085 0.197319
2025-02-09 0.010057 0.021409 0.038527 0.064165 0.099622 0.145112 0.206035
2025-02-16 0.010050 0.021884 0.039944 0.067214 0.105158 0.154061 0.219787
2025-02-23 0.008751 0.020088 0.037873 0.065233 0.103821 0.154057 0.222115
2025-03-02 0.007908 0.018998 0.036810 0.064640 0.104332 0.156432 0.227468
2025-03-09 0.007198 0.018081 0.035962 0.064313 0.105176 0.159223 0.233355
2025-03-16 0.007087 0.018254 0.036834 0.066534 0.109586 0.166765 0.245443
2025-03-23 0.006749 0.017972 0.036958 0.067630 0.112418 0.172222 0.254851